This gem was found at the website of Answers in Genesis. It’s titled Is Improbability the Best Argument Against Evolution? It’s a re-print of something written five years ago by Dr. Ron Tagliapietra. They say he earned his EdD in math education from Bob Jones University in 1996. Very impressive! Here are some excerpts, with bold font added by us for emphasis, and occasional Curmudgeonly interjections that look [like this]:
Have you ever heard that millions of monkeys typing at random would eventually produce the complete works of Shakespeare? It’s a common illustration of the concept that, given enough time, life could evolve from nothing.
Life could evolve from nothing? We never heard anyone say that before, but Ron is now going to refute it. He says:
Is that true? Is it remotely possible that monkeys could keyboard all of Shakespeare without error? Most of us would say: “No, it’s obviously impossible.” But the mathematical probability is not zero.
Ron studied math education at Bob Jones, so he must know what he’s talking about. He tells us:
Creationists correctly argue that random evolution of life from nonlife is so improbable it is virtually impossible. But the probability is technically not zero, which, “given enough time,” leaves a loophole for evolution.
Ron has switched things a bit. First he spoke of life evolving from nothing, now it’s from “nonlife,” which is not necessarily nothing. Anyway, he continues:
Supporters of evolution [The fools!] claim that arguments about the improbability of evolution are simplistic. Much more is going on, they say, than simple random combinations. So improbability doesn’t convince die-hard evolutionists to abandon their view.
Ron is going to bring some clarity to the subject:
As a Christian, I prefer deductions (as in geometry proofs) to counter evolution. No argument will convince a determined skeptic, but unlike probabilities, deductive arguments are airtight, as long as they start with the right assumptions. Here’s a good deductive argument:
* Human sin brought death into the world (according to the Bible).
* The theory of evolution requires millions of years of death before humans were alive.
* Therefore, the theory of evolution and the Bible cannot both be true.
Wowie — he’s right! Let’s read on:
If you believe the Bible, this deductive argument disproves evolution. [Gasp!] What good are probability arguments, then, if they’re not conclusive proof?
But then he says that probability arguments can sometimes be useful:
The farmer seeks the truth about tomorrow’s weather. An occasional error is better than no forecast. Likewise, people seeking the truth, who are looking at both sides of an argument, can use probabilities to weigh possible outcomes.
Does that get us anywhere? Here’s another excerpt:
I remember when I sought the truth. I grew up immersed in evolutionary ideas, starting with a book about dinosaurs I read in first grade. However, a picture in the book left doubts. It showed ghostly dinosaurs with the caption, “No one knows why dinosaurs disappeared.” [Hee hee!] In my twenties, the probability argument swayed me to consider creation as an alternative. Probability helped me recall my doubts and reconsider my assumptions.
The probability argument made Ron the great creationist he is today. Here’s more:
Could monkeys ever produce all of Shakespeare? No. [Gasp!] Consider just the first five keystrokes. From 64 common characters (uppercase and lowercase letters, space, and punctuation), a monkey must select all five characters. The probability is 1 in 1,073,741,824 (645) [that’s 64 to the fifth power]. For 50 characters, it’s 1 in 2.037 x 1090 [That’s 10 to the 90th power]. Imagine the probability for Shakespeare’s complete works!
And now we come to the end:
Biological evolution is much more complicated and far less probable. But these improbable numbers won’t convince a hardened skeptic to reconsider his foundational assumptions. God’s Word and the Holy Spirit are necessary to sway hearts, not simply arguments about probability.
Well, dear reader, did Dr. Ron convince you? If not then you are beyond hope. The Lake of Fire awaits you.
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